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Outcome

Outcome is an on-chain prediction market on Hyperliquid (HIP-4): you buy and sell outcomes of real-world events (crypto, sports, macro, finance, culture) with prices…

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Latest updates

Last updated: 13 days ago
  1. October 3113 days ago
    • Airdrop added to DROPiT.

About

Outcome is an on-chain prediction market on Hyperliquid (HIP-4): you buy and sell outcomes of real-world events (crypto, sports, macro, finance, culture) with prices between 0 and 1 USDC, with no leverage and no liquidations. The interface is outcome.xyz; matching and settlement stay on Hyperliquid. The deployer keeps a 500,000 HYPE stake as an on-chain verifiable bond (official docs).

It is live (web release from late August 2026). There is a Liquidity Rewards program of over $1M in USDC: payouts are daily and mainly reward balanced liquidity (limit orders on both sides near the price) plus maker/taker fills on eligible markets — details on outcome.xyz/rewards and the docs. There are no points and no official token/airdrop. Badges and cards are gamification only with no monetary value.

How to participate

  1. Open Click here (official app). If you are in a restricted region (e.g. US), wallet, deposits and trades stay disabled: docs and Terms confirm the geoblock.
  2. Connect a wallet (self-custody EVM or Privy social login) and accept the Terms. On first access also authorize Outcome’s builder code on Hyperliquid (required to trade via the UI; builder fee is currently zero).
  3. Deposit USDC from the Deposit panel: USDC via CCTP or other assets converted via Across. Funds stay non-custodial in your Hyperliquid wallet.
  4. Enable trading (one-time signature for self-custody; automatic with Privy).
  5. On eligible markets, place limit orders on both sides near the mid to maximize reward score; maker/taker fills also count (quote 40% / maker-fill 50% / taker-fill 10% per epoch). Suggested starting size: $50–200 USDC (real prediction risk).
  6. Check rewards at Click here and the rules in Outcome Liquidity Rewards docs.
  7. Follow updates on X @Outcomexyz and the official Discord.

Risks: no confirmed token or airdrop (today’s rewards are USDC, not points); you can lose the full amount on a single prediction if it settles at 0; few users / thin books on some markets → wide spreads and hard exits. US and other geo restrictions. DYOR.

Anti-scam: only use outcome.xyz, docs.outcome.xyz and X @Outcomexyz. Nobody from the team will ask for your seed phrase. DYOR.

Tasks to complete

  • Open outcome.xyz (official app)

    Open link
  • Connect wallet, accept Terms and authorize the builder code

    Open link
  • Deposit USDC (CCTP or Across)

    Open link
  • Enable trading and place your first order

    Open link
  • Place balanced liquidity (limit bid+ask near the price) on eligible markets

    Open link
  • Check the daily USDC rewards and program rules

    Open link
  • Follow Outcome on X

    Open link
  • Join the official Discord

    Open link

Safety first

  • No airdrop will ever ask for your seed phrase.
  • Check the project's official link before connecting your wallet.
  • Check what you sign: don't approve permissions you don't understand.
  • Use a separate wallet to try new projects.
How to spot scams

Some links may contain a referral code. It doesn't change what you receive.

Frequently asked questions

Do I need to deposit money?

It depends on the project. The cost is shown in the "At a glance" box under Cost. Always check before connecting your wallet.

What are the tasks?

They are the steps to complete to be considered by the project. Tick them off as you go to keep track of your progress.

When is this page updated?

Whenever something important changes. The date at the top tells you when that last happened.

Can I be sure I'll receive tokens?

No. No site can guarantee it: only the project decides who gets what and when.

Stay in the loop

We let you know when a new airdrop appears or the tasks of the ones you follow change.